Steven Engelhardt

Cubs 2006 season record predictions:

May 9: 64-98
August 30: 66-96
Prediction using regression against final team statistics (.319 OBP, 4.74 ERA): 67-95
Actual record: 66-96

Not bad, if I do say so myself.

Since the regression is highly sensitive to team OBP it may not be particularly useful over long time frames. Fortunately for me the Cubs stank pretty consistently throughout the year.