Jul 04
Per request, I have calculated my predictions for the 2007 Chicago Cubs season.
Based on the Cubs’ current team OBP of .329 and team ERA of 3.94 (both from here), the regression predicts a final record of 86-76.
Since a naive extension of their current record of 41-40 predicts they will finish 82-80, it seems the Cubs have been playing better than their record indicates.
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